Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Worth Noting Pages 26-30


·         From What Great Brands Do (Fast Company Aug./Sept. ‘97, p.98) -- Scott Bedbury SVP, Marketing for Starbucks Coffee

1.         A great brand is in it for the long haul.  For decades we had great brands based on solid value propositions -- they’d established their worth in the consumer’s mind.  Then in the 1980’s 1990’s, a lot of companies sold out their brands.  They stopped building them and started harvesting them.  They focused on short-term economic returns, dressed up the bottom line, and diminished their investment in longer-term brand-building programs.  As a result, there were a lot of products with very little differentiation.  All the consumers saw was who had the lowest price -- which is not a profitable place to be.  Then came Marlboro Friday and the Marlboro Man fell off his horse.  Today brands are back stronger than ever.  In an age of accelerating product proliferation, enormous customer choice, and growing clutter and clamor in the marketplace, a great brand is a necessity, not a luxury.  If you take a long-term approach, a great brand can travel worldwide, transcend cultural barriers, speak to multiple consumer segments simultaneously, create economies of scale, and let you operate at the higher end of the positioning spectrum -- where you can earn solid margins over the long term.

2.         A great brand can be anything.  Some categories may lend themselves to branding better than others, but anything is brandable.  Nike, for example, is leveraging the deep emotional connection that people have with sports and fitness.       With Starbucks we see how coffee has woven itself into the fabric of people’s lives, and that’s our opportunity for emotional leverage.  Almost any product offers the opportunity to create a frame of mind that’s unique.  Almost any product can transcend the boundaries of its narrow category.  Intel is a case study in branding.  I doubt that most people who own a computer know what Intel processors do, how they work, or why they are superior to their competition in any substantive way.  All they know is that they want to own a computer with “Intel Inside”.  As a result, Andy Grove and his team sit today with a great product and a powerful brand.

3.         A great brand knows itself.  Anyone who wants to build a great brand first has to understand who they are.  You don’t do this by getting a bunch of executive schmucks in a room so they can reach some consensus on what they think the brand means.  Because whatever they come up with is probably going to be inconsistent with the way most consumers perceive the brand.  The real starting point is to go out to consumers and find out what they like or dislike about the brand and what they associate as the very core of the brand concept.  Now that’s a fairly conventional formula -- and it does have a risk: if you follow that approach all the way you’ll wind up with a narrowly focused brand.  To keep a brand alive over the long haul, to keep it vital, you’ve got to do something new, something unexpected.  It has to be related to the brand’s core position.   But every once in while you have to strike out in a new direction, surprise the consumer, add a new dimension to the brand, and re-energize it.  Of course, the other side of the coin is true as well: a great brand that knows itself also uses that knowledge to decide what not to do.  At Starbucks, for instance, we were approached by a very large company that wanted to partner with us to create a coffee liquor.  I’m sure Starbucks could go in and wreak havoc in that category.  But we didn’t feel it was right for the brand now.  We didn’t do a lot of research.  We just reached inside and asked ourselves, “Does this feel right?”  It didn’t.  It wasn’t true to who we are right now.

 4.        A great brand invents or reinvents an entire categoryThe common ground that you find among brands like Disney, Apple, Nike, and Starbucks is that these companies made it the explicit goal to be the protagonists for each of their entire categories.  Disney is the protagonist for fun family entertainment and family values.  Not Touchstone Pictures, but Disney.  Apple wasn’t just a protagonist for the computer revolution.  Apple was a protagonist for the individual: anyone could be more productive, informed, and contemporary.  From my experience at Nike, I can tell you that CEO Phil Knight is the consummate protagonist for sports and the athlete.  That’s why Nike transcends simply building shoes or making apparel.  As the protagonist for sports, Nike has an informed opinion on where sports is going, how athletes think, how we think about athletes, and how we each think about ourselves as we aim for a new personal best.  At Starbucks, our greatest opportunity is to become the protagonist for all that is good about coffee.  Go to Ethiopia and you’ll immediately understand that we’ve got a category that is 900 years old.  But here in the United States, we’re sitting on a category that’s been devoid of any real innovation for five decades.  A great brand raises the bar.  It adds a greater sense of purpose to the experience, whether it’s the challenge to do your best in sports and fitness or the affirmation that the cup of coffee you’re drinking really matters.

5.         A great brand taps into emotions.  It’s everyone’s goal to have their product be best-in-class.  But product innovation has become the ante you put up just to play the game: it’s table stakes.  The common ground among companies that have built great brands is not just performance.  They recognize that consumers live in an emotional world.  Emotions drive most, if not all our decisions.  Not many people sit around and discuss the benefits of encapsulated gas in the mid-sole of a basketball shoe or the advantages of the dynamic-fit system.  They will talk about Michael Jordan’s winning shot against Utah the other night -- and they’ll experience the dreams and aspirations and the awe that go with that last-second, game-winning shot.  A brand reaches out with that kind of powerful connecting experience.  It’s an emotional connection point that transcends the product.  And transcending the product is the brand.

6.         A great brand is a story that’s never completely toldA brand is a metaphorical story that’s evolving all the time.  This connects with something very deep -- a fundamental human appreciation of mythology.  People have always needed to make sense of things at a higher level.  We all want to think that we’re a piece of something bigger than ourselves.  Companies that manifest that sensibility in their employees and consumers invoke something very powerful.  Look at Hewlitt-Packard and the HP Way.  That’s a form of company mythology.  It gives employees a way to understand that they’re part of a larger mission.  Every employee who comes to HP feels that he or she is part of something that’s alive.  It’s a company with a rich history, a dynamic present, and a bright future.  Levi’s has a story that goes all the way back to the Gold Rush.  They have photos of miners wearing their dungarees.  And every time you notice the rivets on a pair of their jeans, at some level it reminds you of the Levi’s story and the rich history of the product and the company.  Ralph Lauren is trying to create history.  His products all create a frame of mind and a persona.  You go into his stores and there are props and stage settings -- a saddle and rope.  He’s not selling saddles.  He’s using the saddle to tell a story.  Stories create connections to people.  Stories create the emotional context people need to locate themselves in a larger experience.

7.         A great brand has design consistency.  Look at what some of the fashion brands have built -- Ralph Lauren and Calvin Klein, for example.  They have a consistent look and feel and a high level of design integrity.  And it’s not only what they do in the design arena; it’s what they don’t do.  They refuse to follow any fashion trend that doesn’t fit their vision.  And they’re able to pull it off from one season to the next.  That’s just as true for strong brands like Levi’s or Gap or Disney.  Most of these companies have a very focused internal design process.  In the case of Nike, between its ad agency Weiden & Kennedy and Nike Design shop, probably 98% of everything that could be done is handled internally, from hang tags to packaging to annual reports.  Today, Nike has about 350 designers working for it -- more than any other company in the country -- to make sure it keeps close watch over the visual expression of the brand.  They’re what I like to call “impassioned environmentalists” with their brands.  They don’t let very many people touch them in the way of design or positioning or communication -- verbal or nonverbal.  It’s all done internally.

8.         A great brand is relevant.  A lot of brands are trying to position themselves as “cool”.  More often than not, brands that try to be cool fail.  They’re trying to find a way to throw off the right cues -- they know the vernacular, they know the current music.  But very quickly they find themselves in trouble.  It’s dangerous if your only goal is to be cool.  There’s not enough to sustain a brand.  The larger idea is for a brand to be relevant.  It meets what people want, it performs the way people want it to.  In the last couple of decades there’s been a lot of hype about brands.  A lot of propositions and promises were made and broken about how brands were positioned, how they performed, what the company’ real values were.  Consumers are looking for something that has lasting value.  There’s a quest for quality, not quantity. 

·         From The Image: A Guide To Pseudo-Events in America by Daniel J. Boorstin

·         Each of us individually provides the market and demand for the illusions which flood our experience.
·         We want and we believe these illusions because we suffer from extravagant expectations. 
·         When we pick up our newspaper at breakfast, we expect -- we even demand -- that it bring us momentous events since the night before.  We turn on the car radio [or TV] and we expect “news” to have occurred since the morning newspaper went to press.
·         We expect anything and everything.  We expect the contradictory and impossible.  We expect compact cars which are spacious; luxurious cars that are economical.
·         Never have people been more the masters of their environment.  Yet never have a people felt more deceived and disappointed.  We are ruled by extravagant expectations:  

·         Expectations of what the world holds.  Of how much news there is, how many heroes there are, how often masterpieces are made and so on.

·         Expectations of our power to shape the world.  Of our ability to create events when there are none, to make heroes when they don’t exist to be somewhere else when we haven’t left home and so on. 

·         The making of illusions which flood our experience has become the business of America. The story of the making of our illusions -- “the news behind the news” -- has become the most appealing news of the world.


·         On Republicans connecting tax burdens to family values (5/12/97 USN&WR Culture & Ideas)

            “The single biggest problem we have in this country today is that you’ve got to have two people working and this has had the most profound impact on our culture.  Thanks to            reckless Democratic spending, one person is going to work to support the family and the other has to work to support the government.”

·         A Different Point of View on dual wage-earning HH’s (5/12/97 USN Culture & Ideas)

“If couples expand the definitions of “necessity” and build big mortgages and car payments into their 10-year plans, they deprive themselves of the ability to make more       flexible decisions.  I frown on people who say ‘I work because I don’t have a choice.’  It is a choice.

·         Quote about being long-winded (referring to writer Henry James who wrote long-winded, labyrinthine sentences) 

            It was said of James:  “He had a tendency to chew more than he bit off.”

·         Wit & Wisdom of “passe” Chicago columnist, Mike Royco (5/12/97 USN)
           
      Royco once suggested that his fellow men would prefer: “dropping a 40-foot putt or any number of other guy things to seeing their wives ‘waddle’ across the room in a negligee.”


·         Thought-provoking “experiment” on creation theory -- “Big Bang” vs. “Creator” God.  Students were asked this question by their professor:

            Q.         If you had the power to form the universe, would you cast all matter out like grains of sand or would you organize it?

            All answered:  “I would organize it.”

·         Amusing anectdote about power of campaign contributions (from 9/29/97 USN Washington Whispers)

            Roger Tamraz, businessman, responded this way when asked by Senate committee investigating campaign financing why he has never registered to vote but contributed        $300,000 to the Democratic Party:  “Well, I think this is a bit more than a vote.”

·         On Tennis Fans & Elitism at the U.S. Open (8/26/97 NY Post columnist Wallace Matthews)

And what’s up with those fans who dress as if they’re players even down to carrying rackets?  Say what you will about boxing fans -- and 9 times out of 10 you’ll be right -- but I have yet to see anyone in the stands wearing a robe, trunks and 8-oz. gloves.

·         On Living, by comedian Red Skelton:

The trick is not to take your life too seriously; because you’re not going to get out of it alive.

·         On Mainstreaming the News ( from John Leo, 9/22/97 USN)

            Howard Kurtz of The Washington Post is probably our best media critic, but William Powers of New Republic said Kurtz’ coverage of the Frank Gifford scandal ‘launders the          news itself for mainstream resale’.

·         John Wayne on the “politics” of being anti-marriage (from North to Alaska)

            Any woman who devotes herself to making one man miserable, rather than a lot of men happy, doesn’t get my vote.
           
·         On Openness and Illumination, from Supreme Court Justice Louis Brandeis:

            Sunlight is the best disinfectant.

·         Mother Teresa on the world situation:

            The greatest disease is the lack of love.

Worth Noting Pages 21-25


·         Idea for Painting: Create the feeling of emptiness, loss or separation as symbolized by an empty seat isolated among a group of partygoers/revelers.  The composition/impression is one that is expectant -- i.e., When, or will, this person return?

·         Cynical Business Quote from Bermuda Department of Tourism Director Gary Phillips as told to my DDB coworker Barry Brown:

            If the lions and tigers don’t get you, the gnats and mosquitoes will.

·         TV Commercial Idea to launch a new beer:

·         Open in hot bar -- trendy, but grungy.  Hollywood star type standing next to a regular guy at the bar.  “Hollywood” peruses all the “name” brands as camera scans the displayed bottles.  Kaleidoscopic, dreamlike/druglike state.  Concentration is broken by the sound of a beer being ordered by the “Regular Guy”.  Impressed with Regular Guy’s confidence, famous star checks out the bottle (c/u beauty shot) and haughtily orders the same.  As the Regular Guy walks away, paparazzi and toadies swarm over Hollywood who’s holding a bottle of “his” beer -- claims he’s a regular guy, been drinking the brand for years.  Flash cut to magazine photos, to group surrounding star all drinking same beer, to random parties all drinking same beer.  Cut back to original bar: Regular Guy sitting at a quiet table with sweet, pretty Regular Girl -- he’s drinking his beer.

Slogan:  Be your own trend. [Drink ____ beer].

·         Pet Ideas, Inc.: name for Kitty Kuffs ™ holding company.  Ambiguous enough to work with other non-pet products

·         On the damaging kind of altruism (President Clinton quote about budget impasse in Congress):

            We shouldn’t let the perfect become the enemy of the good.

·         On CEO pay:

·         In Japan, there’s roughly a 30:1 ratio between CEO pay and bottom worker pay
·         Was about the same in the U.S. during the 70’s
·         By 1990, U.S. CEO pay had grown to a 140:1ratio from top to bottom; by 2000, 500:1!
·         now it’s a “winner take all” market

·         From Shafted.  Assault on the Middle Class.  (USN&WR 1/22/96).  Labor Sectretary Robert Reich talks about “The politics of resentment”:

·         “Disgruntled workers feel betrayed because companies are not living up to a ‘tacit social contract’ to share wealth.  Instead, executive pay and stock prices are soaring, but wages are slumping and jobs are disappearing.”

·         On family values and family budget issues being closely connected:  “Parents must spend so much time fighting for economic survival that they cannot spend the necessary time to teach children values and to protect them from the chaos around them.”

·         On Why the Increase in Cheating to Get to the Top?  “Pressure is egalitarian.  Competition has created more pressure.  Many feel the game isn’t worth playing.”

·         On Altruistic Motives & Hypocrisy from James Michener regarding the Congregationalists in Hawaii

They came to do good and they did very well.

·         On the Sudden Interest in Spirituality (from Smithsonian Magazine Jan. ‘96 article on “dowsing”):

 “The ‘secular-scientific’ community we Americans have worshiped the last 50 years is bankrupting us spiritually.  In large part, that’s because we’ve become as Einstein predicted, ‘a community of close-minded specialists’.  We don’t have the human or spiritual or Earth-connected balance of past societies.”          

·         1996 Coke grassroots giveaway promotion -- The Red Crew: executed by McCann-Erikson’s Momentum IMC

·         On the Internet and being connected: The concept of “shared space”:

·         Hyperconversations, computer interaction can create an elevated image of others online
·         Connection has more to do with laying the computer network on top of existing human networks.  Example:  When college campuses are built, the sidewalks are left out until natural campus traffic patterns and pathways are established -- only then are sidewalks installed. In this way, technology is applied to the human network.
·         Mobile communications termed “wireless” -- “Tetherless is actually more descriptive of the restrictions of the current system.
·         Satellites are particularly useful to connect remote, inaccessible or difficult (crisis) locations

·         Marketing Services Companies -- locally-based

·         Mobile Marketing, Stamford:  Sampling, on-site, displays, etc.
·         Scratch-It Promotions, Bridgeport: Conceive/mfr. scratch-off games, incentives/sweeps


·         New Age explained:

·         Form of Utopianism-- the desire to create a better society, a “new age” in which humanity lives in harmony with itself, nature and the cosmos
·         A social movement built around the belief that during the next generation human society is going to undergo a massive social transformation that will bring into existence a “new age” of peace and harmony
·         Change in consciousness from isolation and separation to one of communion,attunement and wholeness
·         An awareness that body and mind are interconnected -- all actions have repercussions
·         Life is inter-related and multi-dimensional -- emphasize the “whole”
·         Aware of change and accept it -- go with the flow
·         Encourage widespread, open thought -- allow all things positive
·         Spurred, in part, by concern for the environment
·         Little faith in the institutions that are supposed to improve our lives
·         Turn to food, dietary supplements & alternative medical treatments to increase the quality and length of life
·         Take greater responsibility for protecting themselves
·         Started in the 60’s with talk of peace and love and exploring more natural lifestyles.
·         Since then, there’s been an enormous shift in awareness as many people realize that finding inner peace, creating a spiritual discipline and having a holistic and preventative approach to health care are as important as working to get a Mercedes
·         Will strengthen as Baby Boomers look for meaning in their lives

            Nothing brings you back to God faster than the thought of your own mortality.          
           
·         On Change in TV broadcasting (from Fast Company April/May ‘97, Change Agent.  He’s Making News for the Future -- quote from Stephen Rosenbaum, BNN

I’m counting on the fact that viewers want to take over TV.  They want to go from being passive viewers to being participants.

·          On Change & The Web (Fast Company April/May ‘97, Anything, Anywhere, Anytime -- Any Questions? -- Michael Saylor, software entrepreneur)

·         His dream:  “A crystal ball on every desktop that lets consumers find out about anything, anywhere, anytime.”
·         His premise:  “If we have a billion phone calls a day, why not a billion questions a day?”  -- i.e., Datamining
·         “Today, when you pick up a phone, the dial tone marks an electronic pathway to        hundreds of millions of other phones on the planet.  Within a few years, you’ll jack into the Web and get a query tone -- a gateway to a global mesh of online databases.”
·         “The Web is about distributing information to everyone.  That’s basically what Wal-Mart does.  It takes thousands of disparate items, pounds them into the best price, lowest risk, best offering format, and distributes them -- best this, cheapest that.  It’s power to the people.  The Web brings companies down to a standard cost positioning, so companies have to compete on things other than price.”

·         From Whatever Happened to Madison Avenue? by Martin Mayer

·         Economic theory assumes that everybody acts rationally, and that rules out advertising from the start.
·         Advertising worked -- it sold goods and services -- but mostly it influenced consumer decisions that were of very little importance to the consumer.  Advertising that led someone to switch from Bayer aspirin to Anacin was hugely important to Sterling Drug and American Home Products but not to the people who switched.  Most such advertising influenced what psychologist Milton Roleach called type “Type E” beliefs -- inconsequential beliefs.  If they are changed the total system of beliefs is not altered in any significant way -- the more competitive the advertising, the more it seemed to address itself to changing inconsequential beliefs.
·         Much advertising did not work.  When it worked, or failed, the reason had to be that it changed the product -- in short, advertising added value to the branded product.
·         Even in 1921, the establishment of uniqueness through communications was what paid for advertising; that’s what always pays for the advertising.
·         Brands as major assets were the result of years of investment in what Burleigh Gardner of Harvard Business School called “image”; David Oglivy, “personality”; and Hal Riney, “tonality”. 
·         Advertising forced management to contemplate a longer term.
·         While other industries are led by European and other foreign countries, the creation of perceived value through advertising is [was] an American specialty.
·         Riney:  “Advertising has become a business run by businessmen who have no real interest in advertising.  They think they do, but they don’t.”
·         Today, only a handful of the CEOs at the nations biggest advertisers will even look at the new campaigns before they run, let alone take time at meetings to discuss strategies and approve tactics.  Advertising agencies now deal with middle managers meeting assigned short-range goals, who have little flexibility and less inclination to use what flexibility they have.  The CFO wears several more bars on his shoulder than the EVP of Marketing.
·         In the 80’s, advertising failed to attract the brightest people -- they went to investment banking, where the rewards were so much bigger.  And it was the habits of mind that put the skids under advertising.  It’s not that Wall St. failed to appreciate the value of brands -- indeed, much of the takeover activity in the latter part of the decade was designed to profit by what the raiders considered undervaluation of brand franchises in the market price of corporate securities.  But there was a contradiction in the logic of buyout artists. The true value of the brands was their longevity, while the “corporate restructuring” contemplated in takeover deals was designed to capture such values for current shareholders without concern for the future.  The combination was destructive:  brand extensions that placed old names on new products damaged established franchises, while other brands were cannibalized or used as cash cows to beef up quarterly earnings figures and help the restructurer sell out at an inflated price.
·         Cashing in on brand equities (to quote Rena Bartos of JWT) “kills the goose that lays the golden eggs.”

·         On The Future of the Agency Business: Integrated Service  (10/6/97 Ad Age Forum      p. 34) -- by Howard Steinberg of Source Marketing, Westport CT)

·         Whatever happened to integration and synergy?  You know, the “whole egg” theory.  Some confuse integration with simply acquiring your way into related disciplines like promotion, direct event marketing and online.  That’s a balance sheet strategy, employed by the Interpublics and Omnicoms to derive revenue from every facet of marketing services spending.  As weight shifts from one discipline to another, profitability is not at risk.  This is good financial management that makes sense to Wall Street; an integrated strategy it is not.

·         Agencies focus on media.  Despite amassing a global array of marketing services capabilities, today’s agency structures don’t represent a fundamental change in how agency business is done.  I guarantee you this:  If advertising people are running the account, the strategic focus will be on building the brand via media expenditure.  They can’t help it; it’s all they know.  It’s how they make money.  The business of integrating is left to the client.  I see a different view of the future.  Right now the client is the integrator because the marketing services industry tends to offer a menu of tactical options.  Marketing services has not yet evolved to deliver true integrated services necessary to support brand strategies.  It’s not as simple as one-stop shopping.  It’s approaching business in a fundamentally different way.

·         The agency of the future will not be an advertising agency but a marketing agency.  The walls will come down because the portfolio strategy of separate units won’t serve the client effectively.  Agencies of the future will have account groups managed by generalists who direct a mix of complementary specialists from all walks of the marketing landscape.  They will solve problems and seize opportunities for their clients, regardless of the discipline or form.  They will be media neutral and think in terms of the most efficient way to build business.  They will also enrich themselves by offering relevant service.

·         Demographic Groupings.  When you visit te agency of the future, you will ot find separate marketing disciplines on each floor, but non-tactical structures, perhaps organized by demographic groupings.  When the Mountain Dew brand team visits, for example, they may get out on the “Males 12-to-18 floor.  They would meet with the account team to discuss how to reach this elusive audience with a seamless integrated message and strategy in which the sales force, bottler, retailer and consumer will all share and participate.  Their plan will include trade management, sales incentives, consumer promotion, local events, new media and yes, broadcast advertising -- all beneath a cohesive umbrella.  And the brands managers will only have to go to one meeting!

·         Marketing Age.  The new agency configurations I’m reading about today are not likely to be a part of this future because they still see the hub as traditional advertising and below-the-line business as complementary “tools”.  Marketing campaigns -- not advertising campaigns -- are going to emerge that include something for every link in the distribution chain.  Advertising Age will be renamed Marketing Age.  The American Association of Advertising Agencies will merge with the Promotion Marketing Association of America and the Direct Marketing Association to form the “Marketing Association”.  When this future arrives -- and it will arrive -- the client community will rejoice in the strategic elegance and executional simplicity of having focused agency partners that can drive the entire integrated campaign.   

·         On The Demise of Tradititional Agencies: Marketing-Savvy Clients Open Doors to Smaller Shops    (10/6/97 Ad Age Forum p. 34) -- by Jeffrey J. Hicks, President Crispin Porter Bogusky, Miami

·         I believe there’s an important shift in the industry that’s beginning to challenge the dominance of the Burnetts and J. Walter Thompsons and provide opportunities for smaller, creative-driven agencies.  Advertisers today don’t seem to want much of what traditional full-service agencies are selling.  The result has been the division of accounts among the numerous agencies and the addition of shops such as Fallon McElligott, Leap Partnership and Weiden & Kennedy to the rosters of big marketers.  Coca-Cola Co. has moved from one agency too more than 26 in the last few years.

·         The traditional agency was set up to move a marketing idea from client to consumer.  Along the way, the agency and its departments added value by managing the marketing process in the account service department, using its research department to define the strategy, producing ads with its creative resources and finally, placing the ads in the media that the consumer would see. 

Today, five factors are challenging this model:

1.     Growth of client marketing departments:  Marketers no longer pass projects and responsibility off to the agency as they once did.  Their marketing departments and personnel are being held responsible for balancing increasingly complicated investments across a wider array of media and non-media alternatives.  To do so, they have expanded and improved the profile of the professionals making the decisions.  Pepsi-Cola’s chief Roger Enrico summed it up in Martin Mayers’s 1991 book, Whatever Happened to Madison Avenue:  “Why should great marketing minds go to work at an ad agency when all the key decisions are now being made at the companies?”

2.     Growth of consultancies:  Marketers now often generate strategic vision on their own with the help of management consultants.  Observed John Deighton of the Harvard Business School: “Much strategic thinking in marketing is being supplied by the marketing-intensive practices of the management consultant industry.  The talent being recruited by consultants and clients is in many cases better at strategy than the talent that is going to the agencies.  So you’re having agencies playing the role of consultants to clients who are more broadly educated than they are.  That’s the problem.”

3.     Growth of media buying services:  Media billings assigned to buying services have grown more than 200% in the last ten years, despite little increase in total media spending.

4.     Agency acquisition and financial concerns detract attention from creativity:  While mergers did provide benefits, they also meant more layers of communication between departments and bureaucratic overhead that I believe make the development of innovative ideas much slower if not altogether impossible.

5.     The emergence of interactive media:  The pending combination of commercial video content with addressibility will again change the relationship between marketer and agencies.

·         Traditional agencies obsolete.  The ability to manage targets as small as a single household will make marketer-controlled databases of product/service users the most valuable asset in the marketing mix.  This combined with the impact of low-cost distribution via the Internet will make the traditional agency model obsolete.  So what will the implications of these trends be?  In the future, breakthrough creative that can run in any medium will be the most valuable and differentiated service agencies provide.  It also will be the least likely to be internalized by clients.  Agencies will need to position themselves to take advantage of marketers’ a la carte preferences or risk being passed over.  But large full-service agencies that have “unbundled” their services will face a greater potential for client conflicts across those services.  And they have had little success in convincing clients that their interests are best served with competing clients being served under the same roof.  Smaller agencies will be able to compete on a more even level with larger agencies as the economies of scope associated with the traditional full-service structure disappear.